Collapse Scenarios

Over the Line: How Representative Was Yang Junfeng’s FT Article of Chinese Academic Opinion on North Korea?

By | January 24, 2015

Prompted by the 2013 dismissal of Deng Yuwen from his post at the Central Party School’s Study Times journal and the publication of an op-ed in the English-language Financial Times advocating China’s abandonment of North Korea, Sino-NK investigates how the Party responded and what ordinary academics really think about Sino-DPRK relations in China today.

Communist Normalcy: How Authoritarian Leaders Disappear and Return

By | October 21, 2014

Kim Jong-un has now made a handful of public appearances since ending his 40+ days out of the public eye, and it appears clear that the young leader’s health was a major cause of his absence. This came as no surprise to analyst Nick Miller.

How Long Will the Umbrellas Hold Out? Report from Hong Kong

By | October 11, 2014

Sino-NK’s Junior Fellow for 2013-2014, Byul Ryan-Im, reports from the barricades of Occupy Central.

A Pragmatic Approach to Collapsing the Regime: A Critique

By | July 15, 2014

In a June 16 op-ed in the New York Times, Sue Mi Terry promoted expediting the end of the North Korean regime. The piece energized analyst Michael Bassett to respond.

Chinese Contingency Plan: An Improbable Scenario

By | May 18, 2014

If the North Korean government collapsed, what would China do? After the leak of an alleged Chinese contingency plan, Dr. Jennifer Lind offers an assessment based upon extensive research.

“Red Lines” and North Korea Metaphors at the National People’s Congress in Beijing

By | March 10, 2014

On Saturday, Chinese Foreign Minister expressed his country’s “red line” for the Korean peninsula. But as Adam Cathcart explains, there are a few other metaphors in play.