Author Archive
Lawfare Redux: Towards a Declaratory Posture for North Korea’s Nuclear Arsenal
While some analysts predict a third North Korean nuclear test, Scott Bruce explores how assuming a “declaratory posture” as a nuclear weapons state might serve an equally strategic purpose for the DPRK. Intro by Roger Cavazos.
Contemplating a Post-Xi Landscape: Four Scenarios for Xi Jinping’s Absence, Return, or Purge
Roger Cavazos (SinoNK Coordinator & Analyst with Nautilus Insitute) injects multiple doses of realism and context into the mystifying narrative of Chinese heir apparent Xi Jinping’s disappearance.
Korean Peninsula: Distinguishing Rhetoric from Reality
Roger Cavazos examines what a renewed outbreak of hostilities would actually look like along the arms-clogged waist of the Korean peninsula. Includes link to an extensive illustrated working paper.
Das Boot: Fishing in Troubled Waters
Roger Cavazos analyzes messages to Chinese netizens and the DPRK leadership, a critically important part of the PRC discourse on North Korean affairs during the fishermen hostage crisis.